Mo, 24 Aug. 2026 | BTC $77,564 +0.55% | FEES 1 sat/vB Das Bitcoin-Signal Analyse Newsletter Live
Definition · Markets

Was ist Market cycle?

The observed pattern of multi-year expansions and contractions in Bitcoin's price, often anchored to the halving schedule.

Bitcoin has had a handful of cycles that look broadly similar in shape, which invites the conclusion that they are periodic. Four observations is a very small sample for that conclusion.

Cycle framing is a reasonable heuristic for expecting volatility in both directions. It is not a schedule, and treating it as one has cost people money in both directions.

Häufig falsch verstanden

A pattern with four instances is a hypothesis, not a law. Cycle-based date targets are numerology with a chart attached.

Verwandte Begriffe

Weiterlernen

Diese Definition ist Teil des Bitcoin-Logical-Glossars. Für die ausführliche Erklärung beginnen Sie mit Lernen, oder sehen Sie die Live-Zahlen auf Das Bitcoin-Signal.